Your highlights will appear here. Books we rate below 5 won’t be summarized. It begins as a sort of detective story, describing how a few scientists got obsessed with the mysteries of climate change. In 1896 the Swedish scientist Svante Arrhenius published a new idea. Hot Topic – You’ll find yourself in the middle of a highly debated issue. As humanity burned fossil fuels such as coal, which added carbon dioxide gas to the Earth’s atmosphere, we would raise the planet’s average temperature. Try Volcanoes erupting clouds of smoke? What we say here about books applies to all formats we cover. Discover world-changing science. He postulated that the rise of CO2 in the atmosphere would continue to warm the Earth. Over the next decade a few scientists devised simple mathematical models of the climate, and turned up feedbacks that could make the system surprisingly variable. However, the modelers had to make many arbitrary assumptions about clouds and the like, and reputable scientists disputed the reliability of the results. The first climatologists were fascinated by the challenge of explaining Earth’s ice ages. Fast and free shipping free returns cash on delivery available on eligible purchase. In the early 1970s, the rise of environmentalism raised public doubts about the benefits of human activity for the planet. The new studies showed that, contrary to earlier crude estimates, carbon dioxide could indeed build up in the atmosphere and should bring warming. Even as they stretched their minds to the limit on intellectual problems that often proved insoluble, their attention was diverted into grueling administrative struggles to win minimal support for the great work. The story of how scientists reached that conclusion―by way of unexpected twists and turns―was the story Spencer Weart told in The Discovery of Global Warming. Alongside the greenhouse effect, some scientists pointed out that human activity was putting dust and smog particles into the atmosphere, where they could block sunlight and cool the world. Instead, today’s understanding required an accumulation of theories from disparate areas of research, shaped by the rigors of the scientific method. The Discovery of Global Warming is a book by the physicist and historian Spencer R. Weart published in 2003; revised and updated edition, 2008. Compra The Discovery of Global Warming. The effort was dispersed among many different scientific fields, each with something different to say about climate change. Worse, new evidence suggested that the warming was itself starting to cause changes that would generate still more warming. Others pointed out how little was known about the way living ecosystems interact with climate and the atmosphere. This is a concise, mostly quite dry account that differs from the playfulness of Bill Bryson's Short History of Nearly Everything. What made that possible was a sharp increase of government funding, especially from military agencies with Cold War concerns about the weather and the seas. These discoveries convinced most scientists that global warming is a serious phenomenon. --BOOK JACKET. A helpful and/or enlightening book that has a substantial number of outstanding qualities without excelling across the board, e.g. 5 – Solid. The rest needed more subtle forms of courage. In the 1950s, Callendar’s claims provoked a few scientists to look into the question with improved techniques and calculations. Published in 2003, Spencer R. Weart's The Discovery of Global Warming presents a history of the science of global warming. By around 2000, some predicted, an unprecedented global warming would become apparent. Scientists knew the most important things about how the climate could change during the 21st century. The mass media (to the limited extent they covered the issue) were confused, sometimes predicting a balmy globe with coastal areas flooded as the ice caps melted, sometimes warning of the prospect of a catastrophic new ice age. contains uncommonly novel ideas and presents them in an engaging manner. In 2001 an international panel of climate scientists announced that the world was warming at a rate without precedent during at least the last two millennia. Other records: Author/Creator: Weart, Spencer R., author. Improved models successfully predicted the temporary cooling due to a huge volcanic explosion in 1991 and passed many other tests. And indeed, analysis of Northern Hemisphere weather statistics showed that a cooling trend had begun in the 1940s. presents the latest findings in a topical field and is written by a renowned expert but lacks a bit in style. Research activity did accelerate, including huge datagathering schemes that mobilized international fleets of oceanographic ships and orbiting satellites. Account & Lists Account Returns & Orders. It is an epic story: the struggle of thousands of men and women over the course of a century for very high stakes. In the late 19th century, scientists first argued that human emissions of greenhouse gases could change the climate. Experts predicted droughts, storms, rising sea levels, and other disasters from global warming. He also relates lively stories about the people behind the discoveries. Meanwhile striking news came from studies of ancient climates recorded in Antarctic ice cores. A helpful and/or enlightening book that, in addition to meeting the highest standards in all pertinent aspects, stands out even among the best. Free shipping for many products! The story of how scientists reached their conclusion--by way of unexpected twists and turns and in the face of formidable intellectual, financial, and political obstacles--is told for the first time in The Discovery of Global Warming, Spencer R. Weart lucidly explains the emerging science, introduces us to the major players, and shows us how the Earth's irreducibly complicated climate system was mirrored by the global … Support for the idea came from ice cores arduously drilled from the Greenland ice sheet. A helpful and/or enlightening book that is extremely well rounded, has many strengths and no shortcomings worth mentioning. The raising and lowering of mountain ranges, which diverted wind patterns and ocean currents? For hundreds of thousands of years, carbon dioxide and temperature had been linked: anything that caused one of the pair to rise or fall had caused a rise or fall in the other. Greatly improved computer models began to suggest how such jumps could happen, for example through a change in the circulation of ocean currents. A few politicians began to suspect there might be a public issue here. Now he brings his award-winning account up to date, revised throughout to reflect the latest science and with a new conclusion that shows how the scientific consensus caught fire among the general world public, and how a new … Apparently the climate was so delicately balanced that almost any small perturbation might set off a great shift. In the 1930s, people realized that the United States and North Atlantic region had warmed significantly during the previous halfcentury. The Discovery of Global Warming February 2021: Introduction and Summary: A Hyperlinked History of Climate Change Science "To a patient scientist, the unfolding greenhouse mystery is far more exciting than the plot of the best mystery novel. The history of the Anthropogenic Global Warming cause is told, such as the well known 1988 Senate hearings on Global Warming all the way to the IPCC. Even subtle changes in the Earth’s orbit could make a difference. Selezione delle preferenze relative ai cookie. Hello Select your address Prime Day Deals Best Sellers New Releases Electronics Books Customer Service Gift Ideas Home Computers Gift Cards Sell Increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere twofold, as could happen due to industrial growth, would raise the Earth’s temperature 5° or 6° C. Popular accounts of a warming trend appeared in the 1930s. Select the sections that are relevant to you. Corporations and individuals who opposed all government regulation began to spend many millions of dollars on lobbying, advertising, and “reports” that mimicked scientific publications, in an effort to convince people that there was no problem at all. Indeed most thought it was obvious that puny humanity could never affect the vast climate cycles, which were governed by a benign “balance of nature.” In any case major change seemed impossible except over tens of thousands of years. 2. Their worries first caught wide public attention in the summer of 1988, the hottest on record till then. The award-winning book is now revised and expanded to reflect the latest science. Full contents: 1. Global warming is the unusually rapid increase in Earths average surface temperature over the past century primarily due to the greenhouse gases released by people burning fossil fuels. Groups of scientists that reviewed the calculations found them plausible but saw no need for any policy action, aside from putting more effort into research to find out for sure what was happening. 9 – Superb. Helpful – You’ll take-away practical advice that will help you get better at what you do. For experts – You’ll get the higher-level knowledge/instructions you need as an expert. Others calculated a 5°C rise or even more, an unparalleled catastrophe. Innovative – You can expect some truly fresh ideas and insights on brand-new products or trends. While the rating tells you how good a book is according to our two core criteria, it says nothing about its particular defining features. The award-winning book is now revised and expanded to reflect the latest science. The basic physics of climate change have been known for more than a century, but it is in recent decades that the fundamental science of global warming has solidified. *getAbstract is summarizing much more than books. A helpful and/or enlightening book that stands out by at least one aspect, e.g. In 1824, scientist Joseph Fourier studied the way the atmosphere traps heat, and theorized that the “greenhouse effect” kept Earth’s climate habitable and not frozen. Spencer R. Weart directs the History of Physics program at the American Institute of Physics. After all, the dust and smog that humans were putting into the air only lingered for weeks, whereas carbon dioxide would stay for centuries, climbing decade after decade. People had long suspected that human activity could change the local climate. Volcanic eruptions and solar variations were still plausible causes of change, and some argued these would swamp any effects of human activities. Controversial – You’ll be confronted with strongly debated opinions. To the surprise of many, studies of ancient climates showed that astronomical cycles had partly set the timing of the ice ages. There were some things that virtually all experts agreed on as of 1988. They showed large and disconcertingly abrupt temperature jumps in the past. Impatience increases when one realizes that it is not the … It has been translated into Spanish, Japanese, Italian, Arabic, Chinese and Korean. Earlier scientists had sought a single masterkey to climate, but now they were coming to understand that climate is an intricate system responding to a great many influences. The story of how scientists reached that conclusion by way of unexpected twists and turns was the story Spencer Weart told in The Discovery of Global Warming. How Could Climate Change? By 2001 this Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) managed to establish a consensus, phrased so cautiously that scarcely any expert or government representative dissented. Eye opening – You’ll be offered highly surprising insights. Moreover, humanity was emitting ever increasing amounts of smoke and other pollution; again scientists were not sure how this might affect climate. According to the new “chaos” theories, in such a system a shift might even come all by itself — and suddenly. Environmental groups, less wealthy but more enthusiastic, helped politicize the issue with urgent cries of alarm. Curiosity about climate turned into anxious concern. This “greenhouse effect” was only one of many speculations about climate change, however, and not the most plausible. On the one hand, a dangerous change in ocean circulation seemed unlikely in the next century or two. Compre online The Discovery of Global Warming, de Weart, Spencer R na Amazon. © 2021 Scientific American, a Division of Springer Nature America, Inc. Support our award-winning coverage of advances in science & technology. Then what did cause global climate change — was it variations in the heat of the Sun? The IPCC’s conclusions were reviewed and endorsed by the national science academies of every major nation from the United States to China, along with leading scientific societies and indeed virtually every organization that could speak for a scientific consensus. Scientists intensified their research, organizing programs on an international scale. The story of how scientists reached that conclusion was the story Weart told in The Discovery of Global Warming. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders. But there were larger shifts of climate that happened all by themselves. The Discovery of Global Warming, the book, is a compact 200-page summary of what I learned from my research for this Website, woven into a single narrative. As the human population has increased, so has the volume of fossil fuels burned. Well structured – You’ll find this to be particularly well organized to support its reception or application. is particularly well structured. One morning in 1963, as he was talking with a journalist, he pointed out the jet airplane contrails overhead. If you are somewhat familiar with the subject, you could select topics from the Table of Contents (site map). We rate each piece of content on a scale of 1–10 with regard to these two core criteria. : The Discovery of Global Warming by Spencer R. Weart (2008, Trade Paperback, Revised edition,Expanded) at the best online prices at eBay! Overview – You’ll get a broad treatment of the subject matter, mentioning all its major aspects. Insider’s take – You’ll have the privilege of learning from someone who knows her or his topic inside-out. Some of these gases also degraded the atmosphere’s protective ozone layer, and the news inflamed public worries about the fragility of the atmosphere. They announced that although the climate system was so complex that scientists would never reach complete certainty, it was much more likely than not that our civilization faced severe global warming. Others figured out ingenious ways to retrieve past temperatures by studying ancient pollens and fossil shells. Or could it be changes in the composition of the air itself? Therefore, we use a set of 20 qualities to characterize each book by its strengths: Applicable – You’ll get advice that can be directly applied in the workplace or in everyday situations. For instance, it may offer decent advice in some areas while being repetitive or unremarkable in others. The history of the scientific discovery of climate change began in the early 19th century when ice ages and other natural changes in paleoclimate were first suspected and the natural greenhouse effect was first identified. For example, ancient Greeks and 19th-century Americans debated how cutting down forests might bring more rainfall to a region, or perhaps less. Encontre diversos livros escritos por Weart, Spencer R … Cloudiness was likely to change in ways that could either enhance or diminish the warming, and scientists did not understand the complex processes well. In particular, the modelers could now reproduce in detail the pattern of warming, changes in rainfall, etc. Was the global temperature rise due to an increase in the Sun’s activity? It traces the history of scientific discoveries that led to the current scientific opinion on climate change. Drawing from scientific discoveries in oceanography, meteorology, geochemistry, biology and astrophysics, author Spencer R. Weart draws you into the puzzle of climate change as it is unfolding through time. Beyond that the calculations got problematic. Utilizziamo cookie e altre tecnologie simili per migliorare la tua esperienza di acquisto, per fornire i nostri servizi, per capire come i nostri clienti li utilizzano in modo da poterli migliorare e per visualizzare annunci pubblicitari. An international meeting of scientists warned that the world should take active steps to cut greenhouse gas emissions. The Discovery of Global Warming: Revised and Expanded Edition: Weart, Spencer R.: 9780674044975: Books - Amazon.ca A helpful and/or enlightening book, in spite of its obvious shortcomings. For beginners – You’ll find this to be a good primer if you’re a learner with little or no prior experience/knowledge. Many climate scientists were now convinced that the rise was likely to continue as greenhouse gases accumulated. Although only a small fraction of the predicted warming had happened so far, effects were already becoming visible in some regions — more deadly heat waves, stronger floods and droughts, heatrelated changes in the ranges and behavior of sensitive species. Summary "In The Discovery of Global Warming Spencer R. Weart lucidly explains the emerging science, introduces us to the major players, and shows us how the Earth's irreducibly complicated climate system was mirrored by the global scientific community that studied it." Only one lone voice, the amateur G. S. Callendar, insisted that greenhouse warming was on the way. Global warming is the long-term warming of the planet’s overall temperature. After a few years the warnings of a new ice age (which only a minority of scientists had thought at all plausible) were dropped, and attention concentrated on global warming. Solar activity began to decline, but the temperature soared faster than ever. The award-winning book is now revised and expanded to reflect the latest science. Discovery Of Global Warming by Spencer R Weart available in Trade Paperback on Powells.com, also read synopsis and reviews. (Most since then have been hotter.) A rather straightforward calculation showed that doubling the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere... which would arrive in the late 21st century if no steps were taken to curb emissions... should raise the temperature of the surface roughly one degree C. However, a warmer atmosphere would hold more water vapor, which ought to cause another degree or so of warming. But the next century seemed far off, and the models were preliminary. The Discovery of Global Warming CLIMATE CHANGE A GOOD PLACE TO START is the Summary of the history of climate change science . Scientists supposed this was just a phase of some mild natural cycle, with unknown causes. The physics of clouds and pollution remained too complex to work out exactly, and modeling teams that made different assumptions got somewhat different results. The author Spencer Weart has been able to write a surprisingly interesting account of the history behind how global warming was discovered (of course, some people think that you can't discover what doesn't exist). Inspiring – You’ll want to put into practice what you’ve read immediately. In the end they did win their goal, which was simply knowledge. It turned out that a doubling of carbon dioxide had always gone along with a 3°C temperature rise, give or take a degree or two — a striking confirmation of the computer models, from entirely independent evidence. In 2001, an international panel of distinguished climate scientists announced that the world was warming at a rate without precedent during at least the last two millennia, and that warming was caused by the buildup of greenhouse gases from human activity. Bold – You’ll find arguments that may break with predominant views. Nobody had been able to build a model that matched the historical record and that did not show significant warming when greenhouse gases were added. Before that we get … One thing the scientists agreed on was the need for a more coherent research program. But it is slow reading, with new clues sometimes not appearing for several years. On this Website you will find a more complete history in dozens of essays on separate … In 1938, engineer and amateur climatologist Guy Stewart Callendar told London’s Royal Meteorological Society that the trend was manmade, a result of burning fossil fuel. In 2001 an international panel of climate scientists announced that the world was warming at a rate without precedent during at least the last two millennia. Since 2001, greatly improved computer models and an abundance of data of many kinds strengthened the conclusion that human emissions are very likely to cause serious climate change. Though this warming trend has been going on for a long time, its pace has significantly increased in the last hundred years due to the burning of fossil fuels. Weart outlines the scientific process that led to today’s climate diagnosis. The story of how scientists reached that conclusion was the story Weart told in The Discovery of Global Warming. The only thing most scientists agreed on was that they scarcely understood the climate system, and much more research was needed. Eloquent – You’ll enjoy a masterfully written or presented text. SPEDIZIONE GRATUITA su ordini idonei. The response was vehement. Buy The Discovery of Global Warming by Weart, Spencer R. online on Amazon.ae at best prices. Now he brings his award-winning account up to date, revised throughout to reflect the latest science and with a new conclusion that shows how the scientific consensus caught fire among the general world public, and how a new understanding of the … Depending on what steps people took to restrict emissions, by the end of the century we could expect the planet’s average temperature to rise anywhere between about 1.4 and 6°C (2.5–11°F). The author recounts the history of the theory of the CO2 greenhouse effect from Arrhenius to the present (2008). 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